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The IUP Journal of Applied Economics
Foreign Capital Inflow and Economic Growth Nexus: A Case Study of Pakistan
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This study analyzes the effect of Foreign Capital Inflow (FCI) on the economic growth of a developing economy, like Pakistan. Empirical analysis has been performed by using a recent cointegration technique, Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) method. The result shows that foreign direct investment affects economic growth positively in the long run as well as short run. On the other hand, the official development assistance and aid has positive impact on economic growth only in the long run. So, Pakistan should focus on the official development assistance and aid in the long run for the sake of economic growth.

 
 
 

In economic literature, it has been widely accepted that Foreign Capital Inflow (FCI) stimulates economic growth in the developing world. FCI enables receiving countries to achieve investment levels beyond their own domestic savings. More importantly, FCI is an important means of transferring modern technology and innovation from developed to developing countries. However, there is convincing evidence that the growth enhancing effect of FCI varies from country to country, and for some countries FCI can even adversely affect the growth process (Ali, 1993; Balasubramanyam et al., 1996; Borenstein et al., 1998; De Mello, 1999; and Lipsey, 2000). The main advantage of inflows of foreign capital and resources through its externalities is the adoption of new (foreign) technology, which can happen via licensing agreements, beginning competition for resources, employee training and knowledge, and export spillovers. These benefits, together with direct capital financing affect the major macroeconomic variables viz., domestic investment, technology and employment generation, as well as skilled labor, environment and export competitiveness particularly, in developing countries. Pakistan energetically seeks overseas inflows of capital and resources (Ali, 1993).

The main objective of this effort is to investigate the impact of FCI on economic growth in the case of a small developing economy, Pakistan. The present endeavor employs Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach developed by Pesaran et al. (2001) and Error Correction Model (ECM) with regard to the Pakistani data.

 
 
 

Applied Economics Journal, Foreign Capital Inflow, FCI, Macroeconomic Variables, Economic Growth, Error Correction Model, ECM, Foreign Resources, Foreign Investments, Malaysian Economy, World Bank Development Indicators, WDI, Human Resource Development, Gross Domestic Product, GDP.