The efficient market hypothesis propagated by
Fama (1970) states that a market in which the share prices fully reflect all the available information about a firm is said to be an
efficient market. Fama (1970) then went on to classify the markets into three different types,
depending on the type of information reflected by the prices in the market: weak formreflecting
only historical prices; semi-strong form—reflecting the historical prices as well as any
other publicly available information such as the earnings, dividends, and stock-splits; and
strong form—which reflects all information about the company, historical prices, and publicly
as well as privately available information.
It is commonly found that brokerage houses and analysts spend a considerable amount
of time doing research on the information available about the firms, and hence are believed
to have superior stock picking as well as market timing abilities. Though, if markets are
semi-strong form efficient, then all publicly available information should be reflected
in stock prices. Analyst recommendations should have no material impact on stock prices
and, hence, should not facilitate abnormal returns for the investors. |