The understanding of the market linkages among the international financial markets is especially
important for investors be it for regional or global investment decisions. However, studies n
market linkages tend to become more prevalent only when a specific region experiences a ‘shock’. Undoubtedly, the Asian region is vulnerable to ‘shocks’ (i.e., financial crisis) and as
crisis is contagious, there is a need to understand the interdependency of its financial markets in
order to get rid of the financial turmoil. It is to be noted that the Asian Financial Crisis began
with the collapse of the Thai baht in July 1997 and further erosion in Hong Kong and other
Asian markets in October 1997, and as a result, the co-movement among the Asian financial
markets increased. Besides that, Ghosh et al. (1999) found that the volatility and co-movement
of financial markets increased several months after the financial crisis. Choudhry (2001) indicated
that stock returns of Asian stock markets could be predicted for the long run. Poon and Lin
(2001) in their extensive work on 12 stock markets, noted that stock markets’ downturn could
reduce the benefits of international diversification. Chaterjee and Maniam (2003) argued that
significant correlation among the Asian markets may not be felt, especially in the presence ofeconomic shock due to their own returns behavior. However, the Asian markets tend to converge
towards the long-term linkages. Nonetheless, it should be understood that despite its vulnerability
to economic environment, the Asian region could be the major source of returns for investors if
its market linkages are clearly understood. Hence, the knowledge of the Asian market linkages
has to be incorporated into the international investment strategies.
Co-movement is defined as a pattern of positive correlation, but it is an ambiguous term
and can be described by various types of relationships (Barberis et al., 2002). The co-movement
of international equity markets has been raised to the common fundamental global factors.
The global factors may include the worldwide liberalization of capital control, financial
innovation, growing political and economic integration and financial crisis (King and Wadhwani,
1990). Masson (1998) found that the economic shocks in developed economies can have an
effect on the emerging markets. This can also cause a downward trend in economic growth
in the region. In addition, Ng et al. (2002) stated that another reason that caused
co-movement in the market was macroeconomics condition. For example, recession in
Singapore might dampen the demand for exports from other ASEAN countries and slow
down economic growth in other ASEAN countries. |