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The IUP Journal of Applied Economics :
India's Alternative Trade Strategy from the Perspective of Water Loss
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Water has increasingly become scarce all over the world . Water is also being traded in its virtual form across nations. Trade policies can alter the magnitude and direction of flow of virtual water between nations. Regulating the virtual water flow is important as excess export of water would mean a net loss of our resource which in turn may put pressure on our already falling water table. Adoption of trade policies should not only be guided by traditional parameters like economic growth, but also by consideration of sustainability of our precious resource, water. Though a strongly outward-oriented policy may be conducive to high growth, it is not desirable if we are losing our resource at a fast rate. The paper explores the question, `Why we really do need to rethink our trade policy once more?'

World is fast incurring water deficit. The crisis is hardly visible (Brown, 2002) because water crisis takes the form of aquifer depletion that is hardly visible till the wells go dry. The per capita water availability is fast declining all over the world and also in India. One of the most popular and widely used indexes used to indicate the extent of water scarcity is the `Falkenmark water stress indicator' (Falkenmark et al., 1989). The index is based on minimum per capita water required for basic household needs and to maintain good health. Falkenmark et al. (1989) proposed 1,700 m3 of renewable water resource per capita per year, as the threshold water limit. Countries, which cannot sustain this threshold water limit are said to be suffering from water stress. When the supply of water falls below 1,000 m3 the country is said to experience water scarcity and below 500 m3 absolute scarcity. At levels below 500 m3 per person per year it is a primary problem of sustenance (Seckler et al., 1999). In India the total availability of water would be 2300 bcm (Billion Cubic Meter), with per capita availability of 1,400 m3 by 2050 (Water and Environment India, 2000). Clearly, India is likely to face water stress situation and needs to take urgent steps to reduce the decline or even to reverse it.

Virtual Water: The water consumed in the production process of an agricultural or an industrial product has been termed as virtual water. Tony Allan first introduced the term `virtual water' in the early 1990s (Allan, 1993). For producing 1 kg of grain we need approximately 1000-2000 kg of water.1 In Table 1 we give the figures of virtual water content of few selected products. The virtual water content of a product also varies according to geo-climatic conditions. For example, producing 1 kg of grain in favorable humid condition would require much less water than if the same is produced in arid and dry conditions. However, virtual water plays the most important role, as it is an integral part of international trade. Exporting 1 kg of grain would actually mean that we are in reality exporting about 1000 l of water. Water scarce countries can import those commodities which are high in virtual water content instead of producing themselves. However, excessive export of virtual water would mean we are putting pressure on our groundwater. In India, water tables are falling by 1-3 m per year and in some states extraction is double the recharge. In Punjab, considered to be India's breadbasket, water table is falling by 1 m every year (Brown, 2002). It is because virtual water plays an important role in international trade, we feel its role should be studied with respect to trade policies.

 
 
 

India's Alternative Trade Strategy, Perspective of Water Loss, Trade policies, water resource, production process, agricultural or industrial product, international trade, virtual water content, Outward-oriented strategies, domestic market, inward-oriented trade, industrial policies.