Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) is the
investment theory which states that it is impossible to
`beat the market' because stock market efficiency causes
existing share prices to always incorporate and reflect
all relevant information. According to EMH, this means
that stocks always trade at their fair value on stock exchanges,
making it impossible for investors to either purchase undervalued
stocks or sell stocks for inflated prices. As such, it
should be impossible to outperform the overall market through
expert stock selection or market timing, and that the only
way an investor can possibly obtain higher returns is by
purchasing riskier investments.
Efficient market emerges when new information
is quickly incorporated into the price so that price becomes
information. In other words, the current market price reflects
all available information. Under these conditions the current
market price in any financial market could be the best
unbiased estimate of the value of the investment.
James Lorie, PhD, a Professor of Business Administration, has defined the efficient security market as follows: "Efficiency means the ability of the capital market to function, so that prices of securities react rapidly to new information. Such efficiency will produce prices that are appropriate in terms of current knowledge and investors will be less likely to make unwise investments." In the above context, what will happen is that market-making mechanism becomes free and unfettered. |