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The IUP Journal of Applied Finance
Determinants of IPO Underpricing in the National Stock Exchange of India
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The National Stock Exchange (NSE) is India's first fully demutualized stock exchange. It is also the largest exchange in India in terms of volumes in both equity and derivatives segments. Previous studies on Initial Public Offerings (IPOs) in India have been largely confined to the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE). This study looks at the pricing of IPOs in the NSE, in particular, it seeks to empirically explain the first day underpricing in terms of the demand generated during the book building of an issue, the listing delay between the closure of the book building and the first day listing of the issue, and the money spent on the marketing of the IPOs by the firms. It also seeks to understand any emerging pattern in Indian IPO market with reference to the previous studies. Moreover, it seeks to find the Post-IPO returns for one month in the NSE. The results suggest that the demand generated for an issue during book building and the listing delay positively impact the first day underpricing, whereas the effect of money spent on the marketing of the IPO is insignificant. It is also found that in consonance with the extant literature, the Post-IPO performance in one month after the listing for the firms under study, is negative.

 
 
 

The Initial Public Offering (IPO) market in India has recently attracted the attention of the media for scams in the allotment of shares. The charges are that a few individuals got a large number of shares allocated in IPOs of various companies under fictitious names. The role of the banks as well as Depository Participants (DPs) has therefore, come under scanner. The market regulator—Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) has already passed an order asking the DPs for payment of a disgorgement amount of Rs. 1160 mn (approximately US$28.3 mn).The recent scam in the allotment of shares in IPOs raises an interesting question—What makes the investors rush towards IPOs? It seems that there is a significant difference in the prices at which the IPOs are offered to the investors and the price at which they trade on the day of the listing. So, if the investors get shares allotted in an IPO at a lower offer price and then sell them on the first day of listing at higher prices, then they can make substantial gains. This phenomenon is known as `Underpricing' in the IPO market. In other words, the market (on the day of the listing) seems to believe that the offer price of the stock was lower and deserves a higher price. The higher the underpricing, the greater is the amount of money that can be made by investors who got allocations in the IPO and sell these on the day of listing. This phenomenon is also referred to as `money left on the table' by the firms.

Studying the IPOs in the Indian markets is important for another reason. India has become the first country in the world to introduce a rating mechanism for the IPOs prior to their listing. While rating of debt instruments is fairly common, equity ratings is a unique concept. Ostensibly, the aim of this exercise, started at the behest of the market regulator in India, SEBI, is to make the investors more informed about the fundamentals of the firms in which they are investing their money. It is also likely to have an impact on the huge oversubscriptions that most of the IPO issues in India generate. However, according to SEBI, this rating is not about the `quality or valuation' of the public issue. Presumably then, the rating agencies are going to evaluate the firm with respect to the disclosures made in the prospectus. So in effect, the rating agencies would be reducing thick documents of the firms' prospectus to a simple letter-based rating for the investors. This rating (although SEBI claims would not be about the valuation of the issue) is likely to serve as a signal to a retail investor about the credibility of the firm. The efficacy of this regulation will be tested in the times to come. There could be a difference in assessment of the firms' fundamentals, as disclosed in its prospectus, between the rating agencies and the informed institutional investors. Risk in Investment in IPOs for Retail Uninformed Investors.

 
 
 

Determinants of IPO, National Stock Exchange of India, Bombay Stock Exchange, BSE, Securities and Exchange Board of India, SEBI, Initial Public Offering, IPOs, Discounted Cash Flow, DCF, Baron's Model, Legal Liability, Net Present Value, NPV, Autocorrelation Functions, Indian Stock Markets.