This paper aims at developing a framework for evaluating derivatives if the
underlying clause of the derivative contract is supposedly driven by a fractional Brownian
motion (fBm) with Hurst parameter greater than 0.5. For this purpose, some results
regarding the quasi-conditional expectation, especially the behavior to a Girsanov
transform, are proved. The risk-neutral valuation formula and the fundamental
evaluation equation in the case of the fractional Black-Scholes (BS) market, are then obtained.
The self-similarity and long-range dependence properties make the fBm a suitable tool
in different applications like mathematical finance. Since for the fBm is neither a Markov process, nor a
semimartingale (see for example, Rogers, 1997), we cannot use the
usual stochastic calculus to analyze it. Worse still, after a path-wise integration theory for fBm
was developed by Lin (1995) and Decreusefond and Ustunel (1999), it was proved by Rogers
(1997) that the market mathematical models driven by BH(t) could have arbitrage. The fBm was
no longer considered suitable for mathematical modeling in finance. However, after
the development of a new kind of integral based on the Wick product called the fractional
Ito integral, by Duncan et al. (2000) and Hu and Oksendal (2003), it was proved in Hu and
Oksendal (2003) that the corresponding Ito type fractional Black-Scholes (BS) market has no
arbitrage. Equivalent definitions of the fractional Ito integral were introduced by Alos et al. (2000),
Perez-Abreau and Tudor (2002), and Bender (2002). Hu and Oksendal (2003) introduced
the concept of quasi-conditional expectation and quasi-martingales. In the same paper, a
formula for the price of a European option at t = 0 has been derived.
In Section 2 of this paper, we prove some results regarding the
quasi-conditional expectation, especially the behavior to a Girsanov transform. In Section 3, we apply these
results to obtain the risk-neutral valuation formula and the fundamental evaluation equation in the
case of the fractional BS market. The final section
comprises conclusions drawn from the study. |