An old saying goes, "Women and
markets are unpredictable." What can be a better testimony to the unpredictable
nature of markets than 2009. It caught every wise man on the wrong
sidewith the Indian and global markets staging
the most spectacular comeback. In 2009, the markets saw a roller coaster
ride, with the markets touching new two-year lows, and yet the exuberance
of improving liquidity, thumping election results and strong domestic
demand crafted one of the quickest recoveries, where
Nifty was one of the best performing indices globally. The
2009 market performance is in contrast with that of
2008, where Nifty underperformed most of the major
global market indices.
Given the backdrop, where are the markets headed
in 2010? In order to crystal-ball the market
performance for 2010, we look at various
indicators, which include the global economic outlook, Indian economic outlook,
interest rate expectations, FII and domestic participation in the equity
markets, and the current valuation of the markets.
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