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The IUP Journal of Applied Finance :
Testing the Pecking Order Theory of Capital Structure: Evidence from the Indian Corporate Sector
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By applying the methods used by Shyam-Sunder and Myers, and Goyal and Frank, this paper tests the Pecking Order Hypothesis in the context of Indian corporates, using the data for 2000-01 to 2004-05. The analysis reveals that the Pecking Order of Funds is not followed by the Indian companies.

 
 
 

The Pecking Order Hypothesis of corporate capital structure Theory is one of the celebrated theories of corporate finance, formulated by Myers and Majluf (1984). This theory has been formulated to mitigate the inefficiencies in the firms' investment decisions that are caused by the information asymmetry. Here, the optimal capital structure emerges as a solution to the optimal investment decision problem. Myers and Majluf have argued that if managers have better information about the future investment opportunity of the firm than the potential investors, they might find it difficult to get external finance. This is because outsiders ask for a premium in order to compensate for the possibility of funding a bad firm. If the firm tries to finance its new projects by issuing equity, then the underpricing may be so severe that a good firm may find it profitable to reject some of its projects even with a positive Net Present Value (NPV). Thus, the firm will always try to choose a security that would minimize this problem, which is called as the `Lemon Problem'. The internal sources of funds, however, do not suffer from such a problem. Similarly, debt will be preferred to equity because the possibility of underpricing is much less here. Thus, capital structure choice will be driven by a hierarchical preference. First, internal funds are selected; and then, the risky debt; and finally the equity. This hypothesis, known as `Pecking Order Hypothesis', is valid for the corporate financing pattern of developed countries, where the internal funds occupy the first position in the pecking order of funds.

During the recent years, researchers are working on ways to test the use of Pecking Order Hypothesis in the financing pattern of firms in developing countries. Although this line of research is highly developed in other developed countries, the absence of research in India is noticeable particularly in respect of advanced empirical modeling to test the Pecking Order Theory. In the period of liberalization, the Indian financial system in general and the corporate financing practices in particular, have undergone significant structural and other changes. therefore, it is necessary to undertake an empirical study of the Pecking Order Theory in India so as to strengthen our understanding of this issue under the changed circumstances. The objective of this paper is to make a comprehensive study of the financing pattern of the Indian corporate sector over a period of five years. The paper constructs and estimates the latest sophisticated panel data models for testing the Pecking Order Theory.

 
 
 

Applied Finance Journal, Indian Corporate Sector, Corporate Finance, Net Present Value, NPV, Indian Financial System, Pecking Order Theory, Indian Stock Markets, Indian Private Corporate Sector, Center for Monitoring the Indian Economy , CMIE, Bombay Stock Exchange, BSE, Working Capital Management, Regression Analysis, World Bank.