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The IUP Journal of Applied Finance :
The Effect of Quarterly Earnings Announcements on Sensex: A Case with Clustering of Events
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An event study examines the return behavior of a sample of firms experiencing a common type of event, e.g., earning announcement, stock split, issue of new debt or equity, merger and acquisition and so on. The objective is to assess the significance of the economic event on the market value of the firm. This study investigates the impact of quarterly earnings announcements on the stock price movement of the firms constituting the BSE-Sensex. Daily return data is used to study the mean stock price effect. The effect of clustering of events has been accommodated to analyze the effect of the announcements. The study also examines the drifting up of share prices with reference to good news announcement and vice versa.

 
 
 

Stock market has been found to react to various corporate announcements. One such significant announcement, which has a bearing on the stock price movement of the firm, is earnings information disclosure. This phenomenon is reflected in the abnormal stock return of the firm surrounding the announcement. The magnitude of abnormal return provides a direct measure of unexpected change in security holders' wealth associated with the event (Kothari and Warner, 2004). The effect of the earnings announcements has been found to persist for a significant time, creating post earnings announcement drift. However, the magnitude of the effect and the time taken to incorporate the information content of earnings announcements vary from market to market and depend on characteristics of the firm under study. Thus, the effect of the earnings announcements is an important empirical matter in the capital market, influencing the movement of share prices (Das et al., 2007).

The main objective of the study is to investigate the impact of quarterly earnings announcements on stocks constituting the Sensex. The study of the effect of clustering of event dates on the overall stock returns has been incorporated in the study. If quarterly earnings announcements have informational significance for investor, then such announcement should induce abnormal stock return during the period surrounding the announcement. The study also investigates whether stocks manifest price drift over a period of time corresponding to `good' and `bad' announcements. Usually, statistically significant price changes occur in the predicted direction, i.e., upward drift in the case of good announcements and downward drift in the case of bad announcements (Das et al., 2007).

 
 
 

Clustering of Events, Bombay Stock Exchange, BSE, Cumulative Average Abnormal Return, CAAR, Earning Per Share, EPS, Econometrics of Financial Markets, International Economic Review, Market capitalization,Average Abnormal Return, AAR.