In the current era of new economy, managers
the world over are facing increasing uncertainty while
taking complex strategic decisions of investments in emerging
technologies. Such decisions will have an enduring impact
on firms' long-term profitability and sustained growth.
Usually, this type of uncertainty erodes real value when
such investment decisions are evaluated using traditional
capital budgeting methods such as Discounted Cash Flow
(DCF)-based Net Present Value (NPV) or Internal Rate of
Return (IRR). They are too limited a basis on which to
make emerging technology investment decisions as they undervalue
returns and focus management attention on short-term cash
flow when, perhaps, the biggest benefits lie in building
a strategic asset for long-term growth and competitive
advantages.
Traditional methods of capital investment
project evaluation do not provide the flexibility for strategic
decision making on new business ventures. However, Real
Options (RO) tools encourage proactive strategic management
and, when used properly, can significantly improve decision
making with regard to capital investments. This study aims
at investigating the application of RO in emerging technology
applications. The application of RO as a concept is gaining
favor, because it provides a more holistic project analysis
without the necessity to change current valuation methods
fundamentally.
Capital budgeting tools help firms in the decision-making process of allocating resources to investment projects, normally on a long-term basis. Managers are required to make capital investment decisions on a regular basis. These decisions are especially challenging when they involve the commitment of large quantities of assets to a particular course of action that is not easy to reverse ex postgetting them wrong can be very expensive. Traditional project evaluation focuses on expected values and ability to make future decisions. The typical approaches to project evaluation are based on DCF-based measures such as NPV and IRR. Firms have as primary objective the maximization of its shareholders' wealth, and consequently, their return on investment. The NPV is consistent with this same objective. In an ideal market where there are no capital constraints or constraints for any other input, shareholder value is maximized by choosing projects with positive NPV. Other valuation measures used in industry, such as the ARR and the IRR, are considered to be inferior. |