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The IUP Journal of Agricultural Economics
Cropping Pattern Diversification Across Assam: Variations and Causes
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Diversification of crops may prove to be an important source of augmenting agricultural growth in India, when the scope for area expansion and technological breakthrough (at least in the near future) has become largely limited. Diversification into crops as well as seasons has a special significance in the state of Assam with a view to providing a boost to agricultural production and reducing its instability, mostly caused by floods every year. The paper examines the nature of cropping pattern and extent of crop diversification in the plain districts of Assam. It investigates the possible influences of irrigation, agricultural workforce, average size of landholdings and flood on the choice of cropping pattern, and level of crop diversification in the said areas. A multiple linear regression model has been used after conducting a logit transformation of the diversification index. The study reveals that irrigation through shallow tube wells and the availability of agricultural workforce have positive and significant role in the diversification of crops in Assam. However, flood proneness limits the same by restricting the cropping season, thereby forcing the farmers to confine to staple crops rather than diversifying into high value crops.

 
 
 

One of the major challenges concerning the farm sector of India in the 11th Five-Year Plan is to reverse the deceleration in agricultural growth. The two major sources of growth in agriculture, viz., area expansion and productivity growth, which served well in the past, are now plagued by some limitations. While the scope of area expansion is limited by the inelastic supply of land, it is argued that any significant technological breakthrough cannot be expected in the near future and hence one has to depend on the exploitation of the potential of the existing technology (GOI, 2006). Therefore, a third alternative, which may prove to be very useful in this context, at least in the short run, is to move toward diversification, particularly, into high value crops.

The dominance of wheat-paddy system has led to serious economic, social and ecological problems such as deceleration in productivity growth, drop in agricultural employment, overexploitation of groundwater resources and decline in soil fertility, especially in the Green Revolution areas of the country. In Punjab, soil has deteriorated because of excessive use of chemical fertilizers and cultivation of same crops over and over again (Sidhu and Dhillon, 1997). According to Sidhu and Sidhu (1988), Punjab's overdependence on rice and wheat has led to some serious ecological and production-related marketing problems. Moreover, the gradual changes in the consumption pattern within the country as well as abroad are a clear indication that the policy focus needs to be reoriented toward diversifying the cropping pattern to meet the emerging market needs. Diversification of agriculture in favor of more competitive and high value quality products assumes greater importance in the context of opening up of the economy and its competitiveness, particularly in the farm sector.

The lesson for Assam, from the experience of the Green Revolution areas in India, is not to concentrate only on one or two crops but to go for a diversified cropping pattern to avoid adverse environmental consequences apart from reaping other benefits, such as stability of yields, reduced risk of crop failure, increased productivity, increased agro-returns, and enhanced employment. It should be noted that there is a special need for diversification of crops in Assam. The winter or 'Sali' paddy that has traditionally occupied a major share in the total cropped area is very much prone to frequent floods, which is a major source of instability of agricultural production in the state. Hence, diversification into not only crops but also seasons may provide a boost to agricultural production and its stability to a great extent.

 
 
 

Agricultural Economics Journal, Cropping Pattern Diversification, Multiple Linear Regression Model, Crop Diversification, Agricultural Employment, Ecological Problems, Emerging Market, Green Revolution, Agricultural Production, Economic Problems, Policy Implications, Modified Entropy Index, Government Irrigation Schemes.