The economic growth of India has been exceptionally good with strong fundamentals in terms of soaring stock markets, FII inflows, and burgeoning forex reserves. However, the extent of growth is not reflected in the overall improvement of living standards.
The
Indian economy, this fiscal, has apparently achieved
its utmost macro economic resilience. There seems to
be enough reason to cheer in the wake of a current account
surplus in the BoP for the first time in the last quarter
century, a soaring stock nearing BSE-30 Sensex of 4,750
and still rising further, an expected bumper food crop
in view of a good monsoon this year, an increase in
exports to the tune of 18% resulting in a stronger rupee
vis-à-vis US dollar, foreign exchange reserves
exceeding $80 bn, an increasing trend of FDI and enhanced
prospects of BPOs which would induct latest technology
and provide employment opportunities to India's technically
qualified human resource. In short, the macro-picture
of the Indian economy appears to be extremely sound
and adequate to realize Finance Minister's contemplated
goal of achieving around 7 to 8% rate of growth during
2003-04.
However,
looking at income generation and quality of life of
India's population over the years, a quite different
and duller picture emerges. At the outset, India's main
asset is its burgeoning population nearing 1.2 billion.
This easily renders around 500 million of adult population
on the threshold of seeking employment. Will they all
be able to satisfy this goal? Going backward by about
three decades, we observe that the objective of employment
generation which occupied a prime place in the Five
Year Plan documents till 1977, subsequently faded from
the latter. Since the 1980s, there has been a marked
decline in the unborn organized industrial sector, and
especially since the advent of economic liberalization
and globalization of the Indian economy since 1991,
over 3,000 small and medium-scale industries have shutdown
in Mumbai, Pune, Delhi, Agra and other cities of India
which have rendered over 3 million people unemployed
since then. Also, after the demise of the Textile Mills
Industry in Mumbai during the 1980s, thousands of families
have faced the brunt of deprivation and poverty and
have forced even children from these families to seek
jobs in the informal sector under sub-human conditions
to ensure survival of their families. |