This paper attempts to answer the question of whether the external debt stock and associated servicing
always discourage domestic investments in the Less Developed Countries (LDCs) as claimed by some
authors. Use was made of a comparative modeling approach involving multiple log-linear regression,
distributed lag, and autoregressive models. Comparative estimation methods were also employed, including
the OLS, Cochrane-Orcutt, Maximum Likelihood, instrumental variable techniques against time-series
annual Nigerian data from 1970 through 2001. The results, among others, indicate that both external
debt stock and debt service are not always disincentives to domestic investments. The debt service (debt
burden) variable particularly holds some positive effects for Nigeria’s domestic investments especially when
such payments attract further capital inflows and the externally-borrowed funds are put to best economic
usage. In this light, developing countries may have to change their orientation, which is biased towards
debt forgiveness, and see some good in debt-servicing as a proper management strategy.
External indebtedness has become a natural economic phenomenon among the Less
Developed Countries (LDCs) of the globe. It has been observed as an awaiting disaster as
well as a real burden plaguing these countries. Huge accumulations of debt over the years
are believed to have provided no breathing space to the debtor-countries to exercise
themselves in carefully-planned economic activities. Poverty is said to be seriously
associated with large debt stock. Thus, LDCs, with heavy loads of debt are currently
branded Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC). They are the ever-sick patients of the
IMF(International Monetary Fund) 1996 initiatives. The overhang theory is also
accompanied by psychological, social, moral, and political hazards and unsolicited
intervention and assertion, associated with debtor-creditor relationship. The debtor is the
pronounced slave of the creditor, and so is the nature of the relationship between the
LDCs and their creditors.
Moving hand-in-glove with the debt overhang phenomenon is the debt burden
argument. External debt burden is usually seen in the light of the debt service payments
that are made by debtor-countries to their creditors. These payments relate to the
liquidation of principal and interest associated with the debt contract. When debt service
becomes significantly large, a number of effects are usually anticipated. For one thing, debt |