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The IUP Journal of Operations Management :
Real Earnings Management and Subsequent Operating Performance
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Real Earnings Management (REM) is the manipulation of business activities to meet an earning’s threshold. Despite concern that REM activities create real economic costs, research on the relation between REM and subsequent operating performance is inconclusive. In this paper, a two-firm-level method of estimating abnormal discretionary expenditures is developed and a more proactive method of identifying REM activity is implemented. Using firm-level estimates of abnormal expenditures, strong evidence of REM negatively related to subsequent period return on assets and cash flows from operations is found. The results suggest that the inconclusive results in prior research may be in part due to estimating abnormal expenditures using industry-level models.

 
 

Real Earnings Management (REM) is defined as “management actions that deviate from normal business practices, undertaken with the primary objective of meeting certain earnings thresholds” (Roychowdhury, 2006, p. 336). Analytically, REM imposes real economic costs to the extent that normal (optimal) business practices maximize firm value (Ewert and Wagenhofer, 2005; and Wang, 2006). Yet, prior research provides limited evidence that REM has a negative impact on subsequent operating performance. The objective of this paper is to assess the effect of REM on subsequent operating performance. We extend prior research by developing new methods for estimating abnormal expenditures, and by developing a more proactive method of identifying the occurrence of REM.

This study is motivated by the conflict between current empirical research results and the intuition of researchers and managers as well as the reaction of the financial markets. Ewert and Wagenhofer (2005, p. 1115) argue that REM “is costly and directly reduces firm value.” Cohen et al. (2008, p. 759) state REM is “likely to be more costly to shareholders” than accrual earnings management. The Graham et al. (2005, p. 40) study indicates managers think all companies should use REM to manage earnings as long as “the real sacrifices are not too large.”1 Furthermore, the market discounts the REM component of earnings relative to unmanaged earnings (Hribar et al., 2006) and reduces the premium of REM firms just meeting or beating analysts’ forecasts (Lin et al., 2006). While all the aforementioned studies suggest REM negatively impacts future operating performance, empirical evidence to-date does not fully support this relation.

 
 

Operations Management Journal, Real Earnings Management (REM), Hypotheses Development, Literature Review, Sample Selection.