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The IUP Journal of Monetary Economics
Readiness of ASEAN Banking Sector Integration: Recent Development and Statistical Evidence
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ASEAN has a vision to form a single community by 2020. Thus, ASEAN integration has been a topic of great interest but unfortunately, attention has been over-focused on economic aspect. This paper aims to study the specific aspect of ASEAN banking sector integration with three objectives. Firstly, the paper aims to compare the ASEAN countries' respective commitments to its own members through ASEAN Framework Agreement on Services (AFAS) against their commitments to the world under General Agreement on Trade in Services (GATS). Secondly, it aims to evaluate the readiness of ASEAN for banking sector integration using statistical approach. Thirdly, the statistical results from the second objective are utilized to construct an indicator of readiness for ASEAN banking sector integration. The results reveal that ASEAN countries' commitments to AFAS did not differ much from their respective commitments to GATS. Statistical evidence shows that there are vast differences in monetary conditions between ASEAN countries, hence causing difficulties for one-step total integration. Therefore, `paired-integration' is proposed based on the results of `readiness indicator'. The results reveal that optimal pairing for Malaysia is Thailand, followed by Philippines and Singapore.

 
 
 

As declared in Kuala Lumpur on December 15, 1997, the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) has a vision to achieve partnership in dynamic development which will forge closer economic integration within ASEAN by the year 2020 (accelerated to 2015), which is more commonly known as `ASEAN Vision 2020'. Prior to that, economic and financial integration has been on the agenda of discussion by the Southeast Asian countries' policy makers and academics long before 1997, following the success of European integration. Perhaps, the Asian Crisis 1997-98 hastened the need for stronger economic cooperation, while the sentiments of `Asianization' and `Easternization' added enthusiasm for regional integration among ASEAN and also East Asia. Nevertheless, the enthusiasm and vision may not translate into reality. European monetary and financial integration took 50 years to realize and after overcoming several obstacles, is still in progress. If ASEAN is to emulate European Union integration path, the road ahead is even much harder to navigate than the European nations. ASEAN might face the obstacle of unequal level of economic development. For example, Singaporean economy might be too far ahead for any potential integration compatibility with Laos, that might even face difficulties in managing its own economic development. Incompatible political system is another major obstacle. ASEAN politics ranges from full democracy to authoritarian rules, with some countries currently facing domestic political instability. Furthermore, vast cultural differences among ASEAN countries could be a difficult dimension to the integration process in ASEAN.

On ASEAN banking sector integration, the closest effort could be the commitments on financial services under the ASEAN Framework Agreement on Services (AFAS), which was officially initiated on December 15, 1995 during the 5th ASEAN Summit in Bangkok, Thailand. One of the AFAS objectives is to eliminate substantial restrictions on trade in services among ASEAN countries. Therefore, AFAS also complements the establishment of ASEAN Free Trade Area (AFTA) and ASEAN Vision 2020. Besides, two other objectives of AFAS as stated in Article I of the agreement are, "to enhance cooperation in services amongst Member States in order to improve the efficiency and competitiveness, diversify production capacity and supply and distribution of services of their service suppliers within and outside ASEAN" and "to liberalize trade in services by expanding the depth and scope of liberalization beyond those undertaken by Member States under the General Agreement on Trade in Services (GATS) with the aim to realizing a free trade area in services". The guidelines under the agreement are divided into two categories, namely `market access' and `national treatment' and four modes of services supply, which are `cross-border supply' (Mode 1), `consumption abroad' (Mode 2), `commercial presence' (Mode 3), and `movement of natural persons' (Mode 4).

 
 
 

Monetary Economics Journal, ASEAN Banking Sector Integration, Economic Integration, Economic Development, Financial Services, Financial Integration, Financial Sector, Liberalization, Domestic Commercial Banks, Asset Management, Banking Sector Integration, Government Securities, Global Economic Crisis.