Size effect is one of the most prominent asset pricing anomalies. In simple terms it implies
that small firms’ stocks tend to outperform large firms stocks over a long period of time.
Discovered by Banz (1981) in US stock market, size effect has been found to be a universal
phenomenon1. Studies have also shown the presence of a strong size effect in Indian stock
market2. However, there is a controversy regarding the possible causes of size effect.
There are different explanations of the documented size effect. One viewpoint is that
small firms are inherently riskier than large firms owing to differences in their operating,
financial and liquidity risk characteristics. It has been empirically shown that small firms’
stocks are less liquid and more neglected by institutional investors and security analysts
(Amihud and Mendelson: 1986, James and Edmister: 1983, Arbel and Strebel: 1982,
Arbel, Carvell and Strebel: 1983). Small firms are exposed to higher operating and
financial risks (Chan, Chen and Hseih: 1985). Chan and Chen (1991) suggest that the
small firms examined in the empirical literature tend to be marginal firms. They have lost
market value because of poor performance. They are inefficient producers, and are likely
to have high financial leverage and cash flow problems. Small firms tend to have poor
customer base, outdated technology, less diversified product lines and relatively lower
access to financial market.
Keeping in view the above-mentioned characteristics, the prices of small firms’ stocks
tend to be more sensitive to changes in the economy as they are less likely to survive adverse economic conditions. In a competitive economy with continuing technological
changes, firms that become relatively inefficient or have higher costs will decrease in relative
size (as measured by market capitalization or any other non-market-based measure).
While a more efficiently run firm may do well and even prosper if the aggregate economy
is growing slowly, a less efficiently run firm may not survive a low growth rate for long.
However, size as anomaly to the standard CAPM might have arisen due to the reason that
beta is not capturing full systematic risk of small firms. This implies that beta is not a
comprehensive risk measure. Alternatively, if we believe that CAPM is a rational
benchmark, then size effect is owing to irrational investor behavior. |