The
demand for inflation linked instruments and derivatives
have grown significantly in recent times. Most rapidly
growing derivatives product in the world are not the
credit derivatives, but inflation derivatives. Barclays
Capital of UK is the most dominant player in this derivative
market since it conducted the first transaction in inflation
derivatives in 1994. Due to the active participation
of investors and bankers, the market for inflation derivative
products has grown amazingly, particularly in Europe.
In the past one and a half years, the face value of
the Barclays Capital Euro Inflation-Linked Bond (ILB)
Index has doubled to 50 bn. The inflation derivatives
market is relatively young; the UK Government was the
first to issue inflation-linked bonds in 1982, while
the US Government began issuing them only in 1997. However,
US market is also growing rapidly. Recently US market
has shown more transactions in these products than in
Europe.
Inflation
is defined as the percentage increase or decrease in
Consumer Price Indices (CPI) or Retail Price Indices
(RPI) with respect to those indices on the same period
in the previous year. These indices are constructed
from the price of a basket of goods and services taken
to be the representative of the consumption patterns
of the households in a country, and are published weekly
or monthly by the national statistics institutes. Recent
economic developments have indicated that neither equity
nor gold have been effective in protecting against purchasing
power erosion. Due to the slump in the stock markets
around the world, gold and equity are not able to provide
a reasonable hedge against inflation. Consequently,
it has been observed that interest rates have lost their
connection with inflation rates. This has resulted in
heightened awareness among consumers, investors and
insures that their inflation exposures are required
to be hedged against some inflation related instruments.
As a result, inflation has started trading as a separate
asset class distinct to interest rates and equities.
Therefore, it can be said that in the backdrop of tremendous
growth in the inflation-linked instruments and derivatives
market has been the growing awareness of inflation risk. |