The high growth rates coupled with rising inflation have of late become a global phenomenon, and hence many central banks have either sprung into action or on the verge of taking corrective policy decisions. The European Central Bank and The Bank of Japan have each raised their interest rates by 25 bps, while the People's Bank of China has raised its one year rates by 27 bps, along with a rise of 50 bps in reserve requirements. Driven by these global developments and its belief that in the long run, high inflation is inconsistent with high growth, the RBI has tightened its monetary policy to arrest the spiraling growth in money supply. This has, of course, raised many eyebrows: some critics have dubbed the tightening of the monetary policy measures by the RBI as a `growth killer', for, in their opinion, current inflation being more due to `supply-side' constraints rather than demand-driven, monetary measures are of little or no avail. Let us take a critical look at it.
First,
inflation. It hurts common man. To be precise, it hurts badly those who do not
have a steady source of income. It even hurts savers by adversely impacting their
returns on investments. It hurts exporters by weakening their price competitiveness
- particularly in the current scenario of buoyant foreign exchange inflows. And,
once inflationary expectations rise and inflation gets entrenched, it becomes
very difficult to wriggle out of it. Hence, high inflation is not acceptable politically.
That aside, supply-side corrections do take time to respond to corrective measures. |