On April 13, 2011, the Sensex
notched up a gain of 434 points
to close at 19,725 while NSE Nifty rose 134 points to end the
day's trading at 5,920, snapping up their losing streak over the preceding five
sessions. Before that, the Sensex recorded its first ever quarterly loss during
the March quarter in the last two years since December 2008 and was
ranked amongst the worst performing markets in Asia during the quarter, as
inflation worries and spectrum (2G) scam hit investors' sentiment hard. But on
the positive, in March, indices posted their highest ever monthly gains since
September 2010, as FIIs (Foreign Institutional Investors) turned net buyers
for the first time in the last three months of CY2011, pumping in close to $1.5 bn
in Indian equities during the month, after having pulled out investments
worth $0.5 bn during the preceding two months. Stock markets elsewhere
too witnessed similar trends, signaling that investors' risk appetite
remains stronger.
Equities in developed markets such as the US and Europe turned in
positive returns, driven by sustained economic recovery and better job data,
brushing aside negatives such as spiraling food and oil prices and sovereign debt
concerns in some of the nations in the eurozone periphery. According to
JP Morgan, the global financial powerhouse, equities were supported by
a combination of better-than-expected economic data and continuing
accommodative monetary policy in developed economies. It says that leading
economic indicators in the G7 economies rose sharply this year in response to
a flurry of good news: profit growth in the US and core Europe remained
strong, and US unemployment fell consistently along with fear of a double dip
recession. That apart, bailouts by governments in the US and Japan too have
led to increased inflows into global equities. The Obama
Administration pumped in a huge $600 bn into its
banking system as part of its second round of quantitative easing to, what NY Times commented as, "jolt the economy
into recovery." In Japan, the central bank injected $183 bn into its financial
system, or nearly 3.34% of its GDP, to revive the earthquake and
tsunami-ravaged economy. Further, real interest rates, which remained
negative throughout Europe and North America, continued to encourage carry
trade, though the European Central Bank (ECB) has been maintaining a
hawkish stand since early April this year.
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