The global economy is on the road
to recovery after the profound
crisis over the last three years. Nonetheless, the recovery is facing
several major challenges and risks in near term. Continuing doubts over
European sovereign debt and ever-rising food and oil prices, trade and liquidity
imbalances combined with inflation may threaten the global economic
recovery. Rising global commodity prices including food and oil are causing hardship
in many parts of the world. While in the world's largest economy, the US,
recovery stands in between, with growth gathering impetus and inflation
risks modest, but with unemployment still inaptly high. Thus, the world economy
is advancing with different speed with emerging economies growing
robustly and advanced economies growing moderately.
Accordingly, the multi-speed recovery faces several major challenges
and risks. Yet the largest emerging market economies, China and India, are
facing inflationary pressures associated with strong growth. The historic changes
in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region added increased
uncertainty to the global recovery. With all these risks, the earthquake and
tsunami that hit Japan was just one of the many risks that might compromise
the global economic recovery.
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