While
the price movement of a commodity has only a commercial
significance, the word devaluation has a negative connotation,
as it is derived from the word `value'. Perhaps for
this reason, devaluation of a currency is always an
emotional issue, much more than just a change of price.
In
the long history of its existence, the Indian rupee
(rupee coins since Circa 6th century BC
and rupee notes since 18th century) has undergone
official devaluation only twice! But it does not mean
that its exchange rate has remained steady. When it
was pegged to some other currency, the devaluation of
the parent currency automatically changed the external
value against all other currencies irrespective of devaluation.
When it was subject to market forces, the change took
place continuously but was referred to as depreciation,
appreciation, weakening, strengthening or floating down
and not as devaluation or revaluation. It is interesting
to study and compare the two devaluations on the eve
of the 40th anniversary of the first devaluation.
The
first official devaluation of the Indian rupee took
place on June 6, 1966. The silver jubilee of the first
devaluation was celebrated with a second official devaluation
in two stages, on July 1 and 3, 1991. There were a number
of common factors which led to these `extreme' steps.
But there were vast differences in the preparedness,
market reception, public response, follow up measures
and the consequences of the two similar events. The
state of economy, the political setup, the global economic
scenario and the receptivity to reforms had changed
substantially during the intervening twenty five years.
The course adopted by the economy, therefore, after
the two events, was different. |