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The IUP Journal of Behavioral Finance :
Herding and the Thin Trading Bias in a Start-Up Market: Evidence From Vietnam
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Research in behavioral finance has revealed the significant presence of herd behavior in emerging capital markets. Although the latter are typified by substantial levels of thin trading, its impact over the measurement of herding has been the subject of very little attention. This paper addresses this issue in the context of the Vietnamese market and the results indicate that correcting for thin trading leads to the depression of the herd’s significance. The study findings are suggestive of thin trading introducing a bias over herding estimations which the study interprets through the existing literature evidence related to the illiquid structures of emerging markets.

 
 
 

Emerging capital markets constitute environments whose institutional structures innately facilitate the manifestation of herd behavior (Gelos and Wei, 2002). Normally operating in jurisdictions under incomplete regulatory frameworks (Antoniou et al., 1997a) and inadequate or ill-enforced provisions, these markets are susceptible to adverse practices including rumor-mongering (Van Bommel, 2003) and manipulation (Allen and Gale, 1992). Consequently, this leads to the transparency of the informational environment being compromized, thus fostering the development of collective trading tendencies among investors.

The above-mentioned scenarios have prompted a large amount of empirical research on the premises of both microdata (Choe et al., 1999; Kim and Wei, 2002a, 2002b; Bowe and Domuta, 2004; and Voronkova and Bohl, 2005) as well as aggregate data (Demirer and Kutan, 2006; Farber et al., 2006; and Ha, 2007) with results largely confirming the presence of significant herding in the developing market settings. A characteristic feature of the latter is that they tend to accommodate substantial levels of thin trading, whose presence has been found (Antoniou et al., 1997a) to be associated with the introduction of biases in empirical estimations in finance literature. Despite a large number of herding studies that have included emerging markets in their design, the possibility of thin trading conferring such a bias over herding estimates appears to have received relatively little attention.

 
 
 

Behavioral Finance Journal, Emerging Markets, Capital Markets, Pension Fund Investors, Momentum Strategies, American Economic Review, Portfolio Management, Stock-Market Development, Conditional Heteroscedasticity, Emerging Capital Markets, Market Environments, Standard Deviation, Vietnam Index Portfolios, State Securities Commission.