It has been said that a mediocre strategy well executed beats a great strategy
poorly executed. While that may be true, Intel is an example of a company that
executes extremely well, but made a fundamental strategic mis-step in the early 1980s
that they are paying for today. Many pundits
looking at Intel's performance today compared to ten years ago cite increased
competitive pressures and execution mis-steps as
the cause of Intel's lowered profit margins. To the contrary, I will argue that it was
actually a major strategic mistake years ago that accounts for today's lower performance.
Flawed strategic decisions that go back more than 20 years, are at the root of
Intel's less than stellar performance over the
past few years. While I acknowledge the stunning success that Intel has had over the
years, my point is that the last several years
have been far less successful than they could have been. The root cause of Intel's original
success was Intel's strategic decision in the early
1970s to exit the memory market and focus on the microprocessor market. This new
market focus led Intel to beat Motorola and
others, and be selected by IBM in 1979/80 to use the
SOSx1 architecture in their desktop personal computer. That strategic
market decision (to focus on microprocessors) and its successful execution won them the
IBM contract and "made" Intel. But the engineering
culture that drove Intel's early success
also blinded them to the correct strategy later.
Companies identify strategies to
allow them to achieve their goals, given the
external circumstances in which they find
themselves. Intel's goal was to be the dominant microprocessor supplier and thus
achieve well above average profit margins and
growth as a result. While Intel is still the
dominant supplier of microprocessor integrated circuits (ICs), their market share is
now eroding. Every major personal computer and server manufacturer now uses both
Intel and Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) microprocessors, where just a few years
ago most of the majors only used Intel products. More importantly Intel's margins are
eroding because they are no longer able to command the same price premium over AMD as
they were able to achieve in the past.
This situation is a direct result of
their strategy, not lack of execution. To
understand why this is so, we need to review history.
In the early days of the
microprocessor (as with most proprietary ICs of that
day), Intel was expected to cross-license the manufacture of their ICs to
another semiconductor company to assure continuity of supply. This was a common practice in
the industry. In line with industry
practice, in 1976 Intel licensed AMD the rights to manufacture Intel's microprocessors
under a royalty agreement. |