Indian stock markets have been witnessing a dramatic
turnaround since March 2009. This is the first upward rally of
the stock markets ever since the bear market in January
2008. Not only the Indian stock markets, all the major markets
around the globe are rebounding after experiencing a sharp fall due to
the global credit crunch and the economic slowdown. Some experts
view this global stock market recovery as just a bear market
rally. According to them, since the governments across the world
are doling out huge amounts of money in the form of bailout
packages and other initiatives, it has resulted in excess liquidity in the
global financial system, leading to a recovery in the financial assets
across the globe. However, there have been no signs of improvement in
the economic indicators, suggesting that global economic recovery is
still far away.
Whatever may be the reason, Indian investors on the
stock exchanges are excited after a year of plunging stock prices.
This recovery in India is distinct as most of the growth is driven
by internal consumption which will act as a shield to the effects
of global recession. This recovery in India has attracted the attention
of the FIIs, leading to an improved performance of various sectors
in the economy. Also, the newly formed government is expected to
give a boost to power, realty, infrastructure and other sectors. All
these have given more strength to this current rally. While some of
the sectors have outperformed the sensex, others have
underperformed.
The metal industry, which was on huge expansion spree
during 2007 was one of the major sectors which hit a all time low
in November 2008. This sector was primarily impaired due to
the decrease in demand for metals globally and subsequent fall in
global metal prices. Also, many of the huge metal companies that went
in for expansion plans ended up with building high level of
inventories. All these reasons led the metal index to plunge more than that of
the sensex. Metal index fell to 4,383.38 points in November 2008
from 15,312.92 points in January 2008. However, from February
2009, the metal index has started to rise as the
global metal prices stated recovering from their
lows. The metal index which was at 4,690.97 in February 2009 has risen to 11,988.70 points
by June 2009. |