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The IUP Journal of Applied Finance :
Co-Movement of Conditional Volatility Matter in Asset Pricing: Further Evidence in the Downside and Conventional Pricing Frameworks
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This paper models country-specific equity market return and the association between country-specific equity market volatility and that of the world market in the downside conventional asset pricing frameworks. For this purpose, a Factor-ARCH type process is adopted where world market risk (beta) is estimated in the mean equation and the exposure of country-specific market volatility to world market volatility (volatility beta) is estimated in the variance equation. Generally, the beta is estimated higher for the developed markets than for the emerging markets and the reverse is observed in volatility beta. Even though the two types of betas are positive and significant, a cross-sectional analysis reveals that volatility beta is not priced. These results were observed when the analysis was carried out from an international investor's perspective.

 
 

Modern portfolio theory formalizes the risk-return relationship, assuming that investors make decisions based solely on the mean and variance of the return distribution. Further, the return distribution is assumed symmetric implying that low returns are as likely as high returns. However, studies have revealed strong empirical evidence that return distributions are not symmetric, which has led to the criticism of standard deviation as a measure of risk. Standard deviation treats positive and negative returns equally. In practice, however, risk is viewed differently depending on the perception of the degree of risk associated with the investment. Most investors' view of risk is related to the downside of the return distribution suggesting that risk may be an asymmetric phenomenon. It is widely argued that investors usually do not view returns above a threshold as bad, giving rise to the concept of downside risk. Therefore, given the evidence of asymmetry in stock return distributions the use of the market model to explain asset price variation is questionable. In other words, the adequacy of the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) beta as a measure of systematic risk is a concern. An alternative measure of systematic risk is the downside beta derived from the concepts of Mean-Lower Partial Moment (M-LPM) framework (Bawa and Lindenberg, 1977).

Downside risk has received much attention from practitioners as well as academics. Ang et al. (2006) highlight that bearing downside risk is not simply the compensation for CAPM beta risk. Further, they reveal that bearing downside risk may not be explained by co-skewness or liquidity risk, or by size, value and momentum characteristics.

 
 
 

The IUP Journal of Applied Finance, Conditional Volatility Matter, Asset Pricing, Conventional Pricing Frameworks, Equity Market Return, Asset Pricing Frameworks, Market Volatility, Stock Return Distributions, Capital Asset Pricing Model, CAPM, Mean-Lower Partial Moment framework, M-LPM, Risk Management.