The
rapid and sustained growth of the Indian economy over the
last two decades has been one of the commendable sagas of
the post cold war era. This spectacular growth is only second
to that of China. Ironically, the roots of our economic
reforms leading to the retreat of the Indian State from
"the commanding heights" of the national economy
go back to Indira Gandhi, the archpriest of socialism. Indira
Gandhi knew in her bones that the days of slogans and gimmicks
were over and that her days were numbered unless she "delivered
goods". Consequently, she initiated the process of
loosening the stranglehold of "the license and permit
raj" on business and industry. Quotas and controls
were on the way out. Her son, Rajiv Gandhi, who had no ideological
hang-ups, moved forward by removing hurdles to growth. He
launched the policy of delicensing, deregulation, and decontrol.
Business and industry were allowed to work to full capacity
and even go beyond. However, Rajiv Gandhi's more ambitious
and much trumpeted policy of "one window clearance"
was lost in the labyrinth of the bureaucracy. All the "one
hundred thirty-three signatures" (were there more?)
had to be obtained before the papers reached the mythical
window! Then came P. V. Narasimha Rao, apara chanakya
of Indian politics, with his "middle way", or
the "third path" with the Finance Minister Manmohan
Singh in tow. The rest is history, as they say. Narasimha
Rao did not receive the accolade he deserved for guiding
the nation out of the woods and putting India on the irreversible
path of economic reforms, i.e., liberalisation.
Since
the 1990s, Liberalisation, Privatisation and Globalisation
(LPG), the three mantras of capitalist economic growth
are ruling the roost in India and much of the rest of the
world. In fact, the former-communist countries of Eastern
Europe, Russia and China took to the capitalist path with
the proverbial zeal of the new converts to `the Faith'.
In this context, it must be reiterated that liberalisation
and privatisation were ushered in response to economic crises
at home and the make or break fiscal emergency at that juncture.
Tons of gold had to be physically transported and deposited
in banks in London to avert international bankruptcy. Marketisation
of economics (and much else) in India since the 1990s was
the outcome of our own domestic compulsions. Globalisation
of markets (i.e., the WTO, IMF, FDI, pressures from the
US and Western capitalism, etc.) came in soon afterwards.
The pressures to integrate Indian economy into the so-called
global "free market" under the American leadership
are continuing and will continue into the future. It is
up to us to channel the forces of LPG to our benefit. In
this regard, the record so far is a mixed bag at best. Public
welfare and "the sovereign" responsibilities of
the State are being undermined or not receiving the priority
they deserve.
As
the early euphoria of the LPG waned, India and the rest
of the world found that the benefits of globalisation were
uneven. While millions were lifted above the poverty line
over the last decade and half, the absolute number of poor
people did not decrease significantly. Poverty remains as
intractable as ever, the gap between the rich and the poor
within countries and between them has grown and is continuing
to grow. Furthermore, it is becoming painfully clear that
social welfare and equity are not germane to the profit-driven
capitalist growth. Marginalisation of the already marginalised
millions has become the most serious negative dimension
of LPG in India and elsewhere (including the developed countries).
Since decline of the role and reach of the State in general
and in business in particular is the foundational principle
of capitalist growth as projected by the US and the West,
exclusion of the marginalised and pauperisation of the poor
continues unabated. Disempowerment of the powerless i.e.,
the unskilled, the illiterate and the rural and urban poor,
and the uprooting of tribals seems to be inevitable and
even inherent to the process of LPG underway since the 1990s.
This contemporary tragic fallout is being reinforced by
the very nature of power in general and authority of the
State, in particular and also the very process of governance
in India. Establishments everywhere neglect the poor and
deny them their basic rights, often through fraud and brute
force. All of us know in our hearts that such a state of
affairs is unjust, unfair and immoral. If the State continues
to fail to achieve growth with equity and the consequent
deteriorating law and order situation is not remedied quickly
and on a large enough scale, the inequity of growth suffered
by the many will undo its benefits for the few. This can
be seen as the foundation and the engine of growing mass
protests by the aggrieved and the excluded, the naxalites,
and the terrorists. It is officially admitted that there
is a contiguous Red Corridor from north Andhra Pradesh to
the Nepal border. Terrorists are also spreading their wings
into Karnataka, Tamil Nadu and Kerala. Turmoil in the northeast
goes back to decades before Independence. It has become
worse during the last decade or more.
It
is in this context that the idea of looking for alternatives
to the LPG model emerged as an intellectual and institutional
challenge worthy of exploration. Time and again I brought
this up before the Dean of our School, Sri B. V. Rama Rao,
IAS (Retd). With his enthusiastic encouragement, I began
looking for an economist, who could harness the inchoate
ideas and help in developing a concept paper that would
restate the classic debate of "growth versus development"
in the transformed global ideological context and India's
own delicate situation today. Our mission was to reformulate
the age-old quarrel into that of growth and development,
not growth versus development. In this challenging
task I was able to rope in an old and famous friend, Dr.
V. R. Panchamukhi, one of India's most distinguished economists,
who is "desi" to the core in the most positive
sense of the concept. We interacted back and forth and came
up with a draft statement of our mission to bring out a
special double issue of the Journal on the search for alternatives
to LPG. Unfortunately, despite my earnest efforts, I could
not persuade Panchamukhi to come on board as the Guest Editor
and take charge of the venture.
After
several months of interaction, it was back to square one.
Dean Rama Rao held my hand at this critical juncture and
encouraged me to go on and find others. At this juncture
it is appropriate to express my sincere thanks to Sri. N.
J. Yasaswy, Member, Board of Governors,IU ,
for taking personal interest in the project and giving the
financial support needed for such a venture. Fortunately,
the second search mission came to fruition quickly. The
Dean and I were able to enlist the services of an equally
distinguished economist, Dr. Arif Waqif. Then, Babu, Panchamukhi
and Waqif went back to the drawing board so to say. The
concept paper went through further revision and trimming.
`The Outline' we finally come up with is entitled "Perspectives
on Indian Economic and Social Development: Search for Alternative
Approaches" and is placed at the end of this issue
as an Appendix.
Then,
the Guest Editor Waqif took over. To identify suitable experts
and to keep their responses stay on track, to keep the focus
on the selected dimensions of post-globalisation India became
his responsibility. We also suggested the names of some
scholars. However, the key tasks of inviting, following
up, assessing the draft articles, suggesting suitable revisions
were taken care of by Waqif with gentle firmness and winning
patience. While the contibutors had complete freedom in
terms of the content, Waqif tried his best to ensure that
the invited scholars/specialists took a critical view of
the LPG and came up with alternative approaches in the areas
they covered. While this may have met with some success,
regretably all the themes mentioned in The Outline could
not be covered. The language editing, formatting
and technical editing were done at our end, at the School
and the IUP. The final outcome is before
you and it is for you the critical readers to judge how
far we succeeded in reaching our goal, i.e., "to generate
an objective and critical debate" on the key issues
raised in The Outline.
This
modest effort is only the beginning of the nation's search
for alternative models and approaches to LPG that are suitable
to our country. It is not as though there are no other ongoing
models around the world. But most of them are puny in scale
and too homogeneous to be relevant to our vast, complex
and heterogeneous country. One of the older and enduring
models in place is that of European Social Democracy, especially
the Scandinavian variants. They have been more successful
in balancing growth and equity than the liberal capitalist
models of America, the UK, and Western Europe. In a recent
issue of Foreign Affairs, Robert Kuttner offers an
insightful analysis of "The Copenhagen Consensus"
obtaining in Denmark.* Business and organised labour
and the national Government in the small country have successfully
ironed out a consensus whereby business enjoys flexibility
to hire and fire in order to stay competitive globally.
On the other hand, the workers that are laid off receive
full protection of their wages for as long as two years
by the social security system of the State. This amazing
system called "flexicurity" (i.e., flexibility
and security) has been working for long decades because
of the willing and honest cooperation between the labour
leaders and business enterprises. The small and highly skilled
Danish workers are willing and ready to be retrained and
re-retrained to stay employable in the ever changing market.
They are not averse to changing jobs because that did not
lead to loss in income. The whole thing works because of
the underlying national consensus and the Danish ethos,
Kuttner explains. He is, however, very apprehensive of the
future of "flexicurity" because the national consensus
has been eroding in recent years, and the growing Islamic
migrants are unwilling and unable to play by the rules.
It is hardly conceivable that such a delicately balanced
model based on national consensus, honest cooperation between
business and labour in the national interest and above all
on the integrity of all concerned will work in our country.
Then
there is the half-century old Cuban model built by Fidel
Castro, the greatest and most enduring revolutionary leader
of our times. Right at home we have the West Bengal and
Kerala Models. West Bengal's days of glory belong to the
past, when radical land reforms were successfully implemented.
Now, the West Bengal Model has lost its sense of mission,
direction and credibility. The Communist Establishment in
the state itself has in turn become the target of violent
protests by the uprooted and the dispossessed, the tribals
and the dalits. Nandigram and Singur have rendered the West
Bengal Model irrelevant today. Kerala has done better on
the whole because of some unique favourable factors. The
high literacy, large scale out-migration to rest of India
and abroad since long, and large inflow of funds from NRI
Keralites (especially from the Gulf countries) have greatly
helped the economy and the employment situation in the state.
But, not many are talking about the Kerala Model these days.
The Chinese Model is relevant only in terms of its scale
and heterogeneity. But, India cannot and should not match
the ruthlessness of the State. The monopoly of power wielded
by the Communist party is neither possible nor desirable.
Our own dynasty politics is nasty enough. It is necessary
to point out that both the economies grew during the periods
of liberalisation and their growth became stunted when the
two countries turned authoritarian. We have to find a workable
model within our democratic and Constitutional framework.
The Directive Principles should not for ever remain a string
of pious goals.
In
these circumstances, what should the Government of India
do today to achieve "growth with equity"? Liberalisation
(economic reforms) should continue so that the entrepreneurial
spirit of our people ensures rapid growth. Moreover, growth
can self-finance the infrastructure truly needed for business
and economic development. On privatisation our approach
should be selective and pragmatic. The Navaratnas and all
other viable PSUs should not merely be allowed to continue,
but should be encouraged to grow and compete in the market.
The loss-making PSUs should be wound up quickly. But, the
jobless workers should be re-trained to acquire the new
skills necessary to join the workforce. In the meanwhile,
the earnings of the workers that are laid off should be
on par with their previous earnings for at least a year
or till they are employed. This should be a shared responsibility
of the State and Industry.
The
most crucial first step to turn the economy around is the
infusion of public investment in the agricultural sector
on a massive and unprecedented scale so as to achieve a
second green revolution. Agricultural productivity has to
be raised significantly and on a sustained basis. Towards
this end, private investment should be welcomed in the rural
sector enthusiastically, especially for creating more employment
opportunities in the villages. We need enormous public investment
in infrastructure (roads, bridges, communications and transport).
The State (central as well as state governments) should
invest in sanitation, hygiene, and public health on a mammoth
scale. Finally, the field of education at all levels (from
primary to higher education and research) has to receive
high priority. Quality education for all must be achieved
as quickly as possible. We need more IITs, and universities
and more and more of them should be helped to become world-class
centres of higher learning and research. Private participation
in education, which has been growing very rapidly, should
be welcomed. But there is need for close scrutiny and regulation
to ensure high standards and to curb crass commercialisation.
To achieve these goals, the role and reach of the State
will have to grow larger, not become less, but very different
from the past. Private Public Partnership (PPP) should be
a means for raising the necessary human resources and the
infusion of much needed funds. PPP should not become a smoke
screen for the abdication of the welfare and sovereign responsibilities
of the State. Contrary to the euphoria of globalisation,
"farewell" to the State is a mirage. The sovereign
nation state may become less of a sovereign and much else
than a nation, but it will be with us far into the future.
There is no "farewell" to the State even after
we have a world government!
All
of the above may not add up to be an alternate model of
national development at this stage. But, if all of the constituents
are implemented efficiently for some years, on the scale
needed and without corruption, it is not unreasonable to
expect that we will move towards a working model of development
suitable for our country. However, our search and struggle
for alternative models and approaches must continue. Be
that as it may, whatever be our model of development and/or
our form of government, two very potent negatives will always
be with us. Poor implementation and pervasive corruption
will continue to retard and neutralise development. Unfortunately,
these national traits transcend the models being tried.
Let me end with Alexander Pope's well-known adage: "For
forms of government let fools contest; whatever is best
administered is best." However, I cannot resist the
temptation to add that there are no governments without
forms!
Dialogue/Debate
Let
me take this opportunity to invite the learned readers to
raise issues, offer comments and criticism, and suggest
ways and means of enhancing the implementation of what is
advocated by the various authors. Readers are invited to
send their response to the particular article(s) in not
more than 1,000 words, which will be published along with
the author's rejoinder in the next issue of the Journal,
as per the usual editorial discretion.
--
B.
Ramesh Babu
Consulting Editor
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