Article Details
  • Published Online:
    October  2025
  • Product Name:
    The IUP Journal of Accounting Research & Audit Practices
  • Product Type:
    Article
  • Product Code:
    IJARAP011025
  • DOI:
    10.71329/IUPJARAP/2025.24.4.7-32
  • Author Name:
    Satishkumar
  • Availability:
    YES
  • Subject/Domain:
    Finance
  • Download Format:
    PDF
  • Pages:
    7-32
Volume 24, Issue 4, October-December 2025
Analyzing Mean Reversion in the Indian Banking Sector Using GARCH Model and Half-Life Volatility Method
Abstract

This study investigates the phenomenon of mean reversion and the speed at which it occurs in India’s public and private sector banks, through the GARCH model and the halflife volatility method. The analysis includes daily stock price data from April 1, 2008, to March 31, 2024, for a diverse set of public and private banks. The findings indicate that Citibank exhibits the highest volatility among the banks examined, while the Central Bank of India (CBI) demonstrates the lowest volatility. Furthermore, CBI is identified as the one showing the fastest mean reversion speed; yet it also exhibits the slowest comparative volatility among all the banks sampled. In contrast, Citibank exhibits the slowest mean reversion speed, while demonstrating the highest comparative volatility. Overall, public sector banks return to their average levels more quickly than private banks, indicating a faster stabilization of their stock prices.

Introduction

Researchers in finance have long been interested in understanding specific questions about stock price behavior over time, such as whether stock prices exhibit predictable patterns or random behavior.