Upsurging consumerism, changing lifestyle, increasing access to information and
ever-improving technology, made the last decade observe an enormous development in
the retail sector around the globe. Annual sales, averaged at $6.6 tn can easily remove
any wrinkle the skepticism gives birth to. The number of countries where retail
has emerged as one of the largest industries is not trivial since the names include the
US, the UK, Mexico, Poland and Asian economic titans like China, South
Korea, Taiwan, Philippines, Malaysia, and none other than our very own India.
Moreover, the economies of countries like
Singapore, Malaysia, Hong Kong and Sri Lanka depend heavily on retailing. Some bits
of background information paint a promising portrait giving retail a strong voice
across the globe. Retail in the US generating an average annual sales of more than $3 tn
is considered to be the second largest industry ranked both in terms of number
of establishments and employees engaging 17% of the total working in the
organized sector. The corresponding figure in
Poland is 15% and in China it is 12%. Thus, in consonance with the rest of the
world India's 8% sways the dream of spectacular growth prospects awaiting retail
sector. Assuaging doubts on the future India has also stepped in the organized retail
market recently and attracted the whole world as this market is considered to be the
fifth largest destination.
A restrictive environment and a mindset favoring denial of over consumption
have stunted the development of Indian retail industry keeping it largely
unorganized, predominantly consisting of small, independent and owner-managed
shops. Nevertheless, retail trade is one of the
largest contributors to GDP, constituting 8%. Indian retail market is estimated to
grow from $300 bn in 2007 to $427 bn by 2010, and expected to reach $637 bn by
2015 (Memon, 2006). Organized retailing is also showing signs of enormous growth as
its share in total retailing reached 5.9% in 2007 from 3.2% in 2005 and is likely
to touch 22% by 2010. While the retail market in India, both organized
and unorganized taken together, is likely to grow at a Compound Annual Growth
Rate (CAGR) of 5.5% (at constant prices) to reach at Rs. 2,40,000 cr by 2015,
the growth rate for organized retail market during the same period is expected
to be much higher at a CAGR of 21.8%
(at constant prices) to touch
Rs. 2,46,000 cr. Thus, organized sector growing at a blistering pace
is overshadowing the unorganized sector and alongside, Indian cities are witnessing
a paradigm shift of retailing to the vibrant organized sector. Clothing and
fashion accessories stand to be the largest
category followed by food and grocery, footwear,
and consumer durables in organized retailing holding 38.1% market share
presently, which is translated at Rs. 29,800 cr.
Giving due recognition to the recent economic meltdown, the high rate of growth
the economy achieved in the earlier years, changing lifestyle, increased rate of
literacy, growing number of working women, excessive urbanization, high rate of
media penetration, growing young population, tendency to `spend now' and
favorable demographic patterns act as the key in
the recent spurt of the organized retail sector in India. |