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The IUP Journal of Management Research :
FDI and Economic Growth in the ASEAN Countries: Evidence from Cointegration Approach and Causality Test
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Cointegration technique followed by the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) and standard Granger Causality test were employed to investigate the causal nexus between Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and economic growth in Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) economies. The Johansen Cointegration result establishes a long run relationship between FDI and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the five ASEAN economies, namely, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore and Vietnam. The empirical results of VECM exhibits a long run causality running from GDP to FDI for Indonesia, Philippines and Singapore. For Malaysia and Vietnam, the results reveal long run bidirectional causal link between GDP and FDI. Besides, the evidence from standard Granger Causality test for rest of the ASEAN economies shows that there was no causality between FDI and GDP for Brunei Darussalam and Lao People's Democratic Republic. For Myanmar and Thailand, the test results show that there is a one-way short run Granger causal link from FDI to GDP and GDP to FDI, respectively.

 
 
 

Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) is an investment involving a long-term relationship and reflecting a lasting interest and control by a resident entity in one economy (foreign direct investor or parent enterprise) in an enterprise resident in an economy other than that of the foreign direct investor (FDI enterprise or affiliate enterprise or foreign affiliate). FDI implies that the investor exerts a significant degree of influence on the management of the enterprise resident in the other economy. Such investment involves both the initial transaction between the two entities and all subsequent transactions between them and among foreign affiliates; both incorporated and unincorporated. FDI may be undertaken by individuals as well as business entities (UNCTAD, 2000). FDI is widely viewed as an important catalyst for the economic transformation of the transition economies. The most widespread belief among researchers and policy makers is that FDI boosts growth through different channels. It increases the capital stock and employment, stimulates technological change through technological diffusion and generates technological spillovers for local firms. As it eases the transfer of technology, foreign investment is expected to increase and improve the existing stock of knowledge in the recipient economy through labor training, skill acquisition and diffusion. It contributes to introduction of new management practices and more efficient organizations of the production processes which, in turn, would improve productivity of host countries and stimulate economic growth.

The advent of endogenous growth models (Romer, 1986, 1987; Lucas, 1988; 1990; and Mankiw et al., 1992) considered FDI that would contribute significantly to human capital such as managerial skills and Research and Development (R&D). Multinational Corporations (MNCs) can have a positive impact on human capital in host countries through the training courses they provide to their subsidiaries' local workers. The training courses influence most levels of employees from those with simple skills to those who possess advanced technical and managerial skills. Research and development activities financed by MNCs also contribute to human capital in host countries, and thus, enable these economies to grow in the long-term (Balasubramanyam et al., 1996; and Blomstrom and Kokko 1998). By and large, there is a direct relationship between inward FDI in relation to their size and economic development of a country. One of the strongest statements in that connection was made by Romer (1993) who suggested that for a developing country that wishes to gain on the developed countries, or at least keep up with their growth "...one of the most important and easily implemented policies to give foreign firms an incentive to close the idea gap, to let them make a profit from doing so...The government of a poor country can therefore help its residents by creating an economic environment that offers an adequate reward to MNCs when they bring ideas from the rest of the world and put them to use with domestic resources".

On the other hand, the FDI can exert a negative impact on economic growth of the recipient countries. The dependency school theory argues that foreign investment from developed countries is harmful to the long-term economic growth of developing nations. It asserts that First World nations became wealthy by extracting labor and other resources from the Third World nations. It also argued that developing countries are inadequately compensated for their natural resources and are, thereby, sentenced to conditions of continuing poverty. This kind of capitalism based on the global division of labor causes distortion, hinders growth, and increases income inequality in developing countries (Stoneman, 1975; Bornschier, 1980; and O'hearn, 1990). Further, the neoclassical growth models of Solow (1956) typically ascribe negligible long run growth effects for FDI inflows and, with its usual assumption of diminishing returns to physical capital, these inflows can only have short run impacts on the level of income, leaving long run growth unchanged. Moreover, FDI flows may have a negative effect on the growth prospects of a country if they give rise to substantial reverse flows in the form of remittances of profits and dividends and/or if the MNCs obtain substantial tax or other concessions from the host country. These negative effects would be further compounded if the expected positive spillover effects from the transfer of technology are minimized or eliminated altogether because the technology transferred is inappropriate for the host country's factor proportions (e.g., too capital intensive); or, when this is not the case, as a result of overly restrictive intellectual property rights and/or prohibitive royalty payments and leasing fees charged by the MNCs for the use of the `intangibles' (see Ramirez, 2000; and Ram and Zhang, 2002).

 
 
 

Management Research Journal, Economic Growth, Foreign Direct Investments, FDI, Business Entities, Economic Transformations, Foreign Investments, Gross Domestic Product, GDP, Economic Development, Multinational Corporations, MNCs, Domestic Resources, Natural Resources, Human Capital Resources, ASEAN Economies.