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The IUP Journal of Behavioral Finance

Mar-Jun '10
Focus

It is sometimes quoted that market movements seem mysterious in terms of the conventional theories of stock price determinationThis perception seems to give credibility to the impact of individual biases or psychology on market conditions. A growing field of research on behavioral finance, studies on cognitive or emotional biases which are individual or collective create anomalies in market prices and returns.

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Investment Management by Individual Investors: A Behavioral Approach
50
Behavioral Finance and Efficient Markets: Is the Joint Hypothesis Really the Problem?
50
Bank Herding and Incentive Systems as Catalysts for the Financial Crisis
50
Foreign Institutional Investment and Stock Market Returns in India: Before and During Global Financial Crisis
50
Segmentation of Investors Based on Choice Criteria
50
Working of Credit Rating Agencies in India: An Analysis of Investors' Perception
50
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Investment Management by Individual Investors: A Behavioral Approach

--Abhijeet Chandra,
--Dinesh Sharma

For small and marginal investors, managing their investments is like managing any enterprise. They apply all their skills, knowledge and expertise in managing their money to get the best from investments. Despite all efforts, some cognitive and psychological factors affect their decisions. This study proposes to identify the major psychological biases that influence the individual investors' behavior and that, in return, may drive a momentum effect in stock returns. In this study, survey approach has been used to achieve this objective. The study used a structured questionnaire in which potential investors were asked for their reactions to some specific situations. The study was undertaken within the geographical area of Delhi and National Capital Region (NCR). The results revealed some psychological and cognitive peculiarities. It was interesting to find that the individual investors' behavior is driven by some psychological factors such as conservatism, under confidence, opportunitism, representativeness and informational inferiority complex. The results of the study are helpful in understanding the hidden aspects of individual investors' behavior.

Behavioral Finance and Efficient Markets: Is the Joint Hypothesis Really the Problem?

--Mamadou A Konté

We consider two identical assetsA and Bthat have different prices. The asset A always reflects its fundamental value while asset B may be mispriced. The latter reflects its fundamental value only in average. It is shown that the misvaluation of the asset B can be interpreted as a chance (randomness of errors) or as a noise traders' effect, plus it limits to arbitrage explaining why it is difficult to distinguish between the two arguments. So the result, obtained independently of the joint hypothesis, suggests use of evolutionary models to reconcile both paradigms.

Bank Herding and Incentive Systems as Catalysts for the Financial Crisis

--Peter Haiss

Why do good bankers sometimes respond with the same disastrous strategies? Rooted in regulatory economics and behavioral finance, the paper offers a taxonomy of effects that narrows the scope of the banks' decision making into a funnel-shape and thus, prepares the ground for a financial crisis. The basic message of the paper is that inconsistent decision rules, rigid bank regulations, stakeholder-focused incentive structures within banks and uncritical adoption of innovations may force banks into decisions that are micro-functional, but macro-dysfunctional. Behavioral aspects play a key role in the suggested remedies on the regulatory side (macroprudential regulation, supervision of incentives) and on the banking side (proper reward systems and structured decision making) to re-establish prudent banking.

Foreign Institutional Investment and Stock Market Returns in India: Before and During Global Financial Crisis

--P Srinivasan,
--M Kalaivani,
--K Sham Bhat

Augmented Dickey Fuller and Phillips-Perron tests were employed to examine the stationarity of both the net foreign institutional investment and NSE market return series. Instantaneous Granger Causality test was also employed to examine the contemporaneous relationship between net foreign institutional investment flows and equity market returns in India for the pre-global financial crisis and during the crisis periods. By and large, our analysis revealed that there was an evidence of negative feedback trading hypothesis and positive feedback trading hypothesis by foreign investors before the global financial crisis period and during the crisis period respectively. This implies that foreign institutional investment acts as a smoothening effect and destabilizes forces before and during the crisis period respectively. However, such positive feedback trading strategies from foreign institutional investors seems to be the rationale during the period of global financial crisis.

Segmentation of Investors Based on Choice Criteria

--R Kasilingam,
--G Jayabal

Understanding the criteria used by investors to evaluate any investment instrument is important for the marketers of any investment product. It is also important for them to segment the investors based on their choice and know the characteristics of each segment of investors. The present study has identified four commonly used criteria namely convenience, risk protection, return and liquidity. By using these criteria, investors are segmented into three categories namely, rational, normal and irrational based on the extent to which they consider each criterion. Rational people analyze any investment instrument by using all the criteria, whereas irrational people take investment decisions without considering any. The discriminant analysis is used to test the suitability segmentation.

Working of Credit Rating Agencies in India: An Analysis of Investors' Perception

--Bheemanagouda,
--J Madegowda

Since 1987, credit rating has made headway into the Indian capital market. Since their inception, credit rating agencies have played a significant role in the Indian capital market as have their counterparts abroad. At the same time, the working of the rating agencies has been criticized by many for not having been able to accomplish the coveted goal of investor interest protection as they failed in predicting the fall of big corporate concerns. Rating agencies were also under the scanner during the current global financial crisis. Against the backdrop of their role and criticism, the paper makes an attempt to elicit and analyze the opinion of investors on the working of credit rating agencies in India and offers some suggestions to enable the rating system to be efficient and effective.

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Automated Teller Machines (ATMs): The Changing Face of Banking in India

Bank Management
Information and communication technology has changed the way in which banks provide services to its customers. These days the customers are able to perform their routine banking transactions without even entering the bank premises. ATM is one such development in recent years, which provides remote banking services all over the world, including India. This paper analyzes the development of this self-service banking in India based on the secondary data.

The Information and Communication Technology (ICT) is playing a very important role in the progress and advancement in almost all walks of life. The deregulated environment has provided an opportunity to restructure the means and methods of delivery of services in many areas, including the banking sector. The ICT has been a focused issue in the past two decades in Indian banking. In fact, ICTs are enabling the banks to change the way in which they are functioning. Improved customer service has become very important for the very survival and growth of banking sector in the reforms era. The technological advancements, deregulations, and intense competition due to the entry of private sector and foreign banks have altered the face of banking from one of mere intermediation to one of provider of quick, efficient and customer-friendly services. With the introduction and adoption of ICT in the banking sector, the customers are fast moving away from the traditional branch banking system to the convenient and comfort of virtual banking. The most important virtual banking services are phone banking, mobile banking, Internet banking and ATM banking. These electronic channels have enhanced the delivery of banking services accurately and efficiently to the customers. The ATMs are an important part of a bank’s alternative channel to reach the customers, to showcase products and services and to create brand awareness. This is reflected in the increase in the number of ATMs all over the world. ATM is one of the most widely used remote banking services all over the world, including India. This paper analyzes the growth of ATMs of different bank groups in India.
International Scenario

If ATMs are largely available over geographically dispersed areas, the benefit from using an ATM will increase as customers will be able to access their bank accounts from any geographic location. This would imply that the value of an ATM network increases with the number of available ATM locations, and the value of a bank network to a customer will be determined in part by the final network size of the banking system. The statistical information on the growth of branches and ATM network in select countries.

Indian Scenario

The financial services industry in India has witnessed a phenomenal growth, diversification and specialization since the initiation of financial sector reforms in 1991. Greater customer orientation is the only way to retain customer loyalty and withstand competition in the liberalized world. In a market-driven strategy of development, customer preference is of paramount importance in any economy. Gone are the days when customers used to come to the doorsteps of banks. Now the banks are required to chase the customers; only those banks which are customercentric and extremely focused on the needs of their clients can succeed in their business today.

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